Mekelle፡Telaviv, Nairobi, Pretoria, London, (Tigray Herald)
Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)
April 2025 | Confidential Geopolitical and Strategic Advisory
Prepared by Leading Regional and International Political and Security Experts
Title:
“The Last Warning: TPLF’s Illusionists and Arrogant Hardliners Are Leading Tigray to a National Collapse”
Executive Summary:
This document issues a strict, critical, and final warning to the illusionist elites and hardliner supporters of the Debretsion Gebremichael-led TPLF faction. These actors continue to deny the political, territorial, and security realities of post-genocide Tigray. Through criminal arrogance,nepotistic political networking, and ideological rigidity, they have become the single most
dangerous internal threat to Tigray’s national unity, territorial integrity, and future survival.
The document asserts that political exclusivity, rejection of dissent, and the obsession with restoring a failed power structure are sowing division among Tigray’s zones, undermining the legitimacy of the Interim Government, and accelerating the collapse of trust in the idea of “One
Tigray for All Tigrayans.”
Unless this deeply unethical and destructive behavior is immediately stopped, the
consequences will be irreversible: permanent fragmentation of Tigray, civil war, and total political and moral bankruptcy of the TPLF’s legacy.
- Introduction:
The Illusion of Restoration: When Denial Becomes a National Threat
It is now evident that a certain group of TPLF elites—hardened by power, driven by self-interest,and shielded by a network of favoritism—are actively rejecting Tigray’s post-genocide political reality. They continue to operate as if TPLF remains the undisputed political, military, and moral authority of Tigray, despite its catastrophic failures, international isolation, and internal decay.
This denial—the root of all failure—has turned into a dangerous delusion. It blinds them from embracing the necessary transformation, inclusivity, and consensus required to lead Tigray out of existential crisis.
- Political Nepotism and Corrupt Networking:
A Degenerated Culture
What began as a liberation movement has now devolved into a backward political aristocracy.TPLF’s inner circle has transformed into a rigid caste system dominated by:
Bloodline favoritism
Closed networks of political inheritance
Zonal discrimination and resource capture
Criminal economic extraction, including illegal mining and land grabbing
These are no longer political leaders; they are custodians of decay, feeding off a system they refuse to reform.
- Rejection of Inclusivity and Democratic Consensus:
You Cannot Claim to Defend Tigray While Rejecting Tigrayans
The illusionist TPLF faction has rejected every form of political plurality, national dialogue, and inclusive participation. Anyone not aligned with their narrative is labeled “traitor,” “Eritrean,” or “foreign agent.” This is a toxic, outdated, and suicidal political mindset.
They deny that Tigray belongs to all Tigrayans—not just those loyal to the old guard.
This deliberate exclusion is already causing irreversible damage:
Zonal fragmentation and power imbalances
Marginalization of educated professionals, youth, and returnees Undermining of the legitimacy of the Tigray Interim Government
- Western Tigray Hypocrisy:
You Cannot Fight for Western Tigray While You Divide the Rest Let this message be clear:You cannot claim to fight for the restoration of Western Tigray while practicing internal political apartheid.
You cannot demand sovereignty over occupied territories while undermining the political sovereignty of free zones like Eastern, Central, and Southern Tigray.
Western Tigray’s fate will not be determined by criminals who silence dissent, marginalize
opposition, and deny democratic discourse. If you refuse to unify the free zones through
inclusive politics, you have no moral, legal, or strategic ground to reclaim occupied land.
- The Dangerous Game of Zonal Isolation:
Pushing the Zones to the Edge of Secession
The illusionist elites are playing a reckless game. By:Imposing leadership through coercion
Ignoring voices from Southern and Eastern zones Using armed factions to intimidate local administrations.They are creating the conditions for zonal disintegration—a slow-motion political collapse of the
idea of Tigray as a united regional state. This is not speculation; this is already happening.
If the people of different zones begin to believe they are not represented in Mekelle, they will seek political alternatives—and rightly so. - Consequences of Political Arrogance:
The Survival of Tigray Is at Stake
The illusionist TPLF hardliners must understand that arrogance, not opposition, is the true enemy of Tigray’s survival. Their refusal to accept new realities—new leaders, new voices, and a new national direction—poses an existential threat. If this continues:
The Interim Government will lose its cohesion.
The return of war between factions will be inevitable.Tigray will be isolated from international allies who demand reform and accountability.Eritrea and the Ethiopian Federal Government will exploit the chaos to dismantle Tigray permanently.
- A Final Warning:
Accept Reality or Lose Everything
This document serves as the final geopolitical warning to the Debretsion-affiliated TPLF illusionists:
You do not own Tigray.You failed Tigray.
You are now a liability to Tigray’s future.
If you do not renounce your criminal arrogance, end your exclusionary practices, and accept democratic plurality, history will not remember you as liberators but as the final destroyers of a nation already battered by genocide and war.
- Strategic Recommendations:
Immediate expulsion of all unelected political actors trying to hijack zonal administrations
National unity conference led by independent civil, religious, and academic leaders
Full investigation into illegal economic activities linked to TPLF hardliners
Complete reorganization of TDF leadership to remove politicized and corrupt generals
International diplomatic alignment with pro-reform forces only Closing Message:“Tigray will never again be ruled by bloodline, arrogance, or exclusion.
It must be governed by its people—all of them.”
Prepared by:
Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)
Advised by international political, diplomatic, security, and conflict transformation experts
