Mekelle፡Telaviv, Nairobi, Pretoria, London, (Tigray Herald)
The Final Collapse of the TPLF-PFDJ War Pact: Reclaiming Peace, Dignity, and Tigray’s Future
A Strategic Policy Document for the Peaceful Return of Tigray’s IDPs and the Neutralization ofthe TPLF-PFDJ Unholy Alliance
Prepared by:Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)
Contributors:Leading Regional and International Political, Security, and Military Strategy Experts
Executive Summary:
The June 2025 historic visit to Western Tigray by former Tigray Interim President Getachew Reda marks a critical turning point in Tigray’spost-war reconstruction. The peaceful and dignified return of internally displaced persons (IDPs)is no longer just a humanitarian goal it has become a strategic imperative that is vital to theregion’s future.
However, this bold initiative has faced significant opposition from the outlawed TPLF splintergroup, which, having exhausted its political and military leverage, seeks to weaponize the IDPcrisis in a desperate attempt to salvage its failing cause. This document outlines acomprehensive strategy to neutralize the TPLF-PFDJ alliance, dismantle the remnants of theTPLF’s criminal military influence, and empower the people of Tigray through inclusive dialogue,demilitarization, and international collaboration.
- The TPLF-PFDJ Alliance: A Criminal Pact of Desperation
“A Death Pact for Tigray’s Sovereignty”
The unholy alliance between the Eritrean regime under Isaias Afwerki and the outlawed TPLFsplinter group led by Debretsion Gebremichael, Fetlework Gebregziabher (Monjorino), andcorrupt military figures such as Tadesse Worede represents a final, desperate attempt to dragTigray back into war and thwart any reformist eforts within the region.
Key Objectives of this Alliance:
Sabotage the implementation of the Pretoria Peace Agreement;Prevent the return of IDPs to weaponize human sufering for political leverage;Use remnants of the TDF as proxy militia to defend the crumbling Eritrean regime;Derail the Ethiopian Federal Government’s Red Sea strategy by creating military flashpoints inWestern Tigray;Fuel instability across the Horn of Africa as a tool for strategic blackmail.This dangerous collusion serves neither the people of Tigray nor the region’s peace but insteadseeks to protect a criminal network under the guise of false resistance.
- The Political Bankruptcy of the TPLF: Gambling with Displacement“TPLF First, People Second: The Strategy of a Failed Movement”Reports confirm that top TPLF leaders have publicly insisted that “TPLF must be saved first”before IDPs can return. This approach is not only morally indefensible but also politicallyself-destructive.Key Revelations:The TPLF leadership has consistently blamed the Ethiopian Federal Government for the delayin IDP return while actively obstructing local eforts;Western Tigray’s IDP return process has been politicized and militarized to serve the TPLF’slast political gambit;The TPLF has used IDPs as bargaining chips in a desperate bid to revive its fading politicalbrand;TPLF military generals have threatened local communities and oficials promoting peacefulreturns.This behavior is a clear indication that the TPLF is no longer a political party but a failed criminalenterprise, willing to sacrifice Tigrayan lives for its survival.
- The Turning Point: Getachew-Tsadkan Mission and the People’s Peace Force
“Peace Through Return:
The End of the TPLF Era Begins in Western Tigray”The recent visit by Getachew Reda and General Tsadkan Gebretensae marks a definitive breakfrom the past, opening a new chapter for Tigray’s healing and the safe return of IDPs.
Key Outcomes:
Constructive dialogue with local communities to establish practical and safe IDP returnmechanisms;The formation of the Tigray People’s Peace Force (TPF) a hybrid civilian-military structure forvoluntary demobilization and peacekeeping;
Engagement with regional elders, youth, clergy, women, and ex-combatants in a comprehensivepeacebuilding process.This initiative represents the most credible and peaceful alternative to the cycle of warengineered by the TPLF-PFDJ network.
- Strategic Recommendations: Neutralizing the TPLF-PFDJ Alliance
A. Accelerate IDP Return as a Strategic Weapon of PeaceEstablish the Independent Tigray Return Commission (ITRC) in collaboration with the EthiopianFederal Government, the UN, AU, religious leaders, and civil society.Mobilize international humanitarian agencies to provide immediate logistical and financialsupport for IDP return.Launch a Tigray Homecoming Media Campaign to inform, prepare, and involve communities inthe return process.
B. Demobilize and Reintegrate TDF Fighters into the Peace Force
Appeal to all TDF members to abandon corrupt TPLF generals and join the Tigray People’sPeace Force (TPF).Ofer incentives and community reintegration programs to encourage early joiners.Launch a Public Defection Amnesty Program for TDF members under TPLF command, oferingassurances of safety and support.
C. Launch a Regional and International Political Ofensive
Engage with the Ethiopian Federal Government to establish legal and security frameworks forthe safe return of IDPs.Cooperate with the African Union and UNHCR to provide protection guarantees for IDPs andensure their safety during return.Publicly expose and document TPLF-PFDJ collusion at international fora (e.g., UN, EU, USCongress), emphasizing their role in blocking IDP return and destabilizing the region.
D. Disrupt the Military Geography of the PFDJ Regime
Collaborate with Ethiopian Federal intelligence and military units to exploit Eritrea’s militaryweaknesses, particularly its geographical disadvantages.Diplomatically isolate the Eritrean regime by exposing its use of Tigray as a bufer zone and itsrole in regional destabilization.Promote international condemnation of Eritrea’s interference in Tigray and its eforts toundermine Ethiopia’s sovereignty.
- Final Narrative:Reclaiming the Tigrayan Cause from Criminal Hijackers“
This is the Beginning of the End for the TPLF”
This moment is not merely symbolic it represents the rebirth of the Tigrayan spirit of justice,dignity, and unity. The return of IDPs is not only a humanitarian goal but a political weapon oftruth against decades of authoritarian deception. By dismantling the TPLF’s last weapon the sufering of displaced people and by calling onTDF members to defect and join the peaceful cause, the people of Tigray will:
Restore dignity to the victims of displacement;
Dismantle the power of criminal generals;
End the proxy alliance with the genocidal Eritrean regime,
Reclaim Tigray’s rightful place in Ethiopia and the region as a democratic force for good.
Conclusion:Tigray Must Choose Peace Over Pacts of War
The TPLF-PFDJ alliance is a pact of extinction, not resistance. Its collapse is inevitable. Whatmust rise in its place is a new Tigray rooted in peace, civic dignity, and sovereign agency.With the strategic leadership of Getachew Reda, the military credibility of Tsadkan Gebretensae,and the moral power of the people, the return of IDPs will finally bury the TPLF’s last excuseand usher in a Tigray that belongs to its people a Tigray of peace and prosperity.
Prepared by:
Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)In consultation with regional military analysts, international human rights experts, and diplomaticobservers
