Mekelle፡Telaviv, Nairobi, Pretoria, London, (Tigray Herald)
The following powerful narrative framing, empirical findings from the public survey, and clear presentation suitable for publication under Tigray Herald and Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review(HAGR) with contributions from international political, security, and digital intelligence experts.
“Death Pact of Betrayal: The TPLF–PFDJ Unholy Alliance and the Overwhelming Rejectionby the People of Tigray”
Public Survey Report by Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR) & Tigray Media Watch Digital Intelligence Taskforce
Public Executive Summary (Full Version Restricted for Security Review)
Executive Summary:In one of the most revealing public opinion surveys conducted in post-genocide Tigray, an overwhelming 96% of Tigrayans have categorically rejected the so-called “ጽምዶ” alliance between remnants of the TPLF military elite and the genocidal Eritrean regime (PFDJ) led bydictator Isaias Afwerki. The survey conducted by Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR),in partnership with Tigray Media Watch Digital Intelligence Taskforce confirms that Tigrayans consider the PFDJ regime their primary historical and existential enemy.
This unholy alliance is seen by the population not only as a betrayal of the martyrs of the Tigraygenocide but also as a political death pact between two criminal enterprises attempting tosubvert the Pretoria Peace Agreement, undermine Tigray’s legitimate political transition, andincite renewed conflict.
Background and Purpose of the Survey:
In light of disturbing developments linking certain rogue TPLF figures with back channel communications and secretive operations coordinated with the PFDJ regime, the need to understand the public perception of this “ጽምዶ” (Tsimdo) alliance became urgent.
The survey aimed to:
Gauge the public’s awareness and sentiment towards the alleged TPLF-PFDJ collaboration.
Determine the level of support or opposition to any renewed cooperation with Eritrea’s authoritarian regime.
Examine attitudes towards the Pretoria Peace Agreement, internal displacement, peace eforts,and accountability.
Provide evidence-based data to policy makers, reformists, civil society, and international actorssupporting Tigray’s post-genocide recovery.
Methodology:
This survey was designed with ethical rigor, broad outreach, and real-time digital intelligence monitoring. It included:Virtual Questionnaires circulated through secure platforms.Analysis of Whats App Groups, Telegram channels, Twitter Spaces, Facebook discussions, and Club house debates.Sentiment analysis using AI-driven digital monitoring tools.Informal interviews with community leaders, civil servants, youth, women’s groups, and diasporamembers.A sample size of over 18,000 respondents, with demographic representation from urban, rural,and IDP populations.Ethical considerations included anonymity, data protection, and voluntary participation inaccordance with international research norms.
Key Findings:
1. Rejection of the TPLF-PFDJ Pact96% of respondents explicitly oppose any alliance between TPLF elites and the Eritrean regime.The public considers this pact a “strategic betrayal” of Tigray’s martyrs and survivors.Respondents described the PFDJ as “the original architects of the Tigray genocide,” dating backto their anti-Tigrayan campaigns of the 1980s.
2. Eritrean Regime as the Primary Enemy99% identified Isaias Afwerki and the PFDJ as Tigray’s “primary enemy” responsible fordecades of hostility and the recent genocidal war.Historical trauma from 1983–2022 has deeply embedded the PFDJ in Tigrayan collectivememory as an existential threat.
3. Support for the Pretoria Peace AgreementOver 94% support the full implementation of the Pretoria Peace Agreement including withdrawal of Eritrean and Amhara forces, and restoration of Tigray’s constitutional borders.Citizens prioritize peaceful resolution, return of IDPs, and reconstruction over renewed wareforts.
4. Rejection of TPLF Military Elites
The public perceives the old-guard TPLF generals as power-hungry spoilers seeking to return Tigray to conflict for personal gain. Respondents expressed clear preference for a new civilian-led leadership, rooted in democraticreform, justice, and transparency.
5. Calls for Accountability
Widespread demand for legal accountability for any individuals involved in collaborating with the PFDJ regime. Support for independent investigations and community-led justice mechanisms.
Public Voices: Reflections from the People of Tigray
“Anyone who makes an alliance with Isaias is betraying our mothers, our raped sisters, andour buried brothers.” A survivor from Western Tigray now in a Mekelle IDP camp “We did not survive genocide just to watch TPLF generals kneel before the butcher of Tigray.” Tigrayan youth activist in diaspora (Europe)> “Let us finish the chapter of war. We need peace, homes, and justice not another pact withdemons.” Women’s cooperative leader, Adigrat
Strategic Implications:
For the Tigray Interim Government:
Strengthen civilian institutions and reformist leadership under President Getachew Reda.Distance Tigray’s future from warmongers and corrupt actors within the military establishment.Reafirm commitment to the Pretoria Agreement and demand international enforcementmechanisorg
For the International Community:
Recognize and support the democratic will of the Tigrayan people.Investigate any violations of peace agreements or collusion with genocidal actors.Provide technical and political support to the reformist civilian leadership in Tigray.
For Civil Society and Media:
Expose disinformation campaigns promoting this alliance.Document and archive testimonies that ensure public memory and accountability.Create platforms for victim-centered peace building, transitional justice, and democraticdialogue.
Final Warning:
“The blood pact between TPLF warlords and the PFDJ regime is not only treasonous it is adeliberate attempt to undermine Tigray’s future. The people have spoken: Never again.”
Appendix: Survey Design & ExecutionLead Survey Coordination: Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)Technical Oversight: Tigray Media Watch Digital Intelligence Monitoring Taskforce
Data Analysis Partners: Regional Security Experts from the Netherlands, South Africa, and the United States
Timeline: Conducted over 6 weeks between May–June 2025Ethics Review: Internal HAGR Compliance Committee
For oficial inquiries, partnership requests, or access to the full restricted report, pleasecontact:📧 Email: research@hagr-policy.org Website: www.tigrayherald.com / www.horngeopoliticalreview.org
Location: Cape Town | Brussels | Mekelle,London, Nairobi.
